Epidemics occur when an infectious disease spreads in a local population,
lasting longer and reaching people in a wider geographical area. When
that disease reaches worldwide proportions, it is considered a pandemic.
Several factors determine whether an outbreak will explode into an epidemic
or pandemic: the ease with which a microbe moves from person to person,
and the behaviour of individuals and societies.

On the global level,
different populations interact through travel, trade, and war, all opportunities
for microbes to reach new areas. Rapidly growing cities also allow microbes
to infect large groups of people. Of course, in many situations, individual
and communal behaviour also contribute to the spread of disease.
Pandemics, such
as the 14th-century plague known as the Black Death, have been occurring
for centuries. The Black Death devastated populations throughout Asia
and Europe.
Several factors
contribute to the global spread of an infectious disease. The principal
factor depends on how easily the disease-causing microbe is transmitted
from person to person. For example, the tuberculosis microbe moves through
a population much more slowly than the influenza microbe.
Some microbes live
inside animals, such as mosquitoes or mice, during part of their life
cycle. The habitat and life cycle of that animal can limit or extend
the range of the microbe.
Human behaviour
and public health conditions are also important factors. Reusing needles
for injecting vaccines or drugs increases risk of infection, as does
using water from a polluted source.
Warfare has long
been linked to disease. In fact, infectious diseases sometimes kill
more soldiers than do battle wounds. Infected soldiers allow microbes
to enter new ecosystems and infect civilians, sometimes with disastrous
results. Soldiers may also pick up infections abroad and carry them
back home.
During a war, civilian
populations are equally at risk from the breakdown of infrastructure
and public health systems, and the scarcity of medicine. People are
often forced from their homes into crowded, unsanitary refugee camps.
Warfare also destroys
ecosystems. Animals carrying disease-causing microbes may multiply in
such altered environments.
Throughout history,
travellers moving about the world for work, adventure, or resettlement
have spread disease. Microbes that infest insects and rodents -on ancient
merchant ships to modern jet planes-have also spread disease. And other
disease-causing microbes can lodge in the huge quantity of foods, and
other trade goods that are always moving across the globe.
Today, few places
in the world are truly isolated: people and goods are transported more
easily, rapidly, and frequently than ever before.
Cities bring many
people into close contact, making it easier for disease-carrying microbes
to circulate, especially among poor people crowded together in unsanitary
conditions. And in rapidly growing cities, particularly those in developing
countries, public health programs often lack the resources to reach
the people who need the most help. Lack of access to vaccinations, medicines,
and public health information all contribute to the spread of microbe-caused
diseases
Human behaviour, combined with changes in weather patterns, contributes
to the spread of infectious diseases. Both can produce conditions that
lead to increases in disease-causing microbes and the animals that carry
then.